Climate change could lead to raging infernos throughout Europe


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Climate change is expected to contribute to a 'dramatic increase' in forest fires in Europe, according to a new study.

The research claims that increased temperatures and longer droughts will create a 200 per cent increase in raging forest infernos by 2090.

However, preventive fires could keep that increase to below 50 per cent, the Austrian scientists claim.

Research claims that increased temperatures and droughts will create a 200 per cent increase in forest fires

Research claims that increased temperatures and droughts will create a 200 per cent increase in forest fires

Researchers at the International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis focused on two strategies to mitigate the impact: prescribed burns and fire suppression.

Prescribed burns help prevent major fires by removing dead wood from forests.

'There is still a big debate on the effectiveness of prescribed burning as a forest fire management tool,' said Nikolay Khabarov, who led the study.

'This study shows that it can be a promising option to protect European forests from the impacts of climate change.'

Prescribed burns help prevent major fires by removing dead wood from forests. 'There is still a big debate on the effectiveness of prescribed burning as a forest fire management tool,' said researcher Nikolay Khabarov

Prescribed burns help prevent major fires by removing dead wood from forests. 'There is still a big debate on the effectiveness of prescribed burning as a forest fire management tool,' said researcher Nikolay Khabarov

The study also examined the potential of better firefighting to help reduce burned areas.

But in a statement, the research team said no study has yet managed to find out the cost and benefit of such efforts at a continental scale.

'European forests are vital reservoirs for wildlife, for biodiversity, and for our own enjoyment and well-being,' said Dr Khabarov, 'We need to find ways to protect them.'

The researchers claim that in Europe, over 95 per cent of all forest fires are caused by humans, including negligence when smoking cigarettes, using campfires and other open fires that are not put out properly, and even arson.

'In more populous areas, the chance of occurrence of forest fires rises dramatically,' said researcher Andrey Krasovskii, a study co-author.

Enlarge   This map details some of the predicted affects of climate change in different continents. The IPCC report claims that no one will be untouched by climate change

This map details some of the predicted affects of climate change in different continents. The IPCC report claims that no one will be untouched by climate change

'We could prevent many of these fires simply by being more responsible.'

The findings follow a recent report that claims no one will be untouched by climate change with storm surges, flooding and heatwaves among the key risks of global warming in the coming decades.

This was the warning made in the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Working Group II report, published in March.

The report said that violent conflicts, food shortages and serious infrastructure damage were also predicted to become more widespread over the coming years.

It argued that rising temperatures will exacerbate poverty and damage land and marine species.

It also claimed that the world is in 'an era of man-made climate change' and has already seen impacts of global warming on every continent and across the oceans.

HOW IS CLIMATE CHANGE PREDICTED TO AFFECT YOUR AREA?

Europe: The IPCC expects 'multiple stresses and systemic failures due to climate change' in the Mediterranean. This will increase energy costs and damage tourism from 2050.

North America: Flooding will be a major threat in this area with rain and storms moving north of New York. Southern areas are expected to experience a shortage of water.

Asia: The majority of the people directly affected by sea level rise will be in southern and eastern Asia. However, water  is also expected to affect most of Asia.

Australasia: There remains uncertainty about impact in Australasia, but extreme weather is predicted. The Great Barrier Reef will continue to degrade, with warmer  water bleaching more coral.

Africa: Food security will be a major issue for Africa. Crops and livestock will be affected by both flooding and drought. There will also be more soil erosion from storms.

Central and South America: Scientists expect Northern Brazil may lose 22 per cent of its annual rainfall by 2100, while the area around Chile could get a 25 per cent increase.

 



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